Don’t Get Too Excited Republicans. This Election Is Far From Over.
For a McCain fan like myself, I’m pleased with the bounce he has received since the convention. The expectations (even my own) were quite the opposite and it seemed that Obama’s lead after McCain’s convention would at least exceed the lead he had before his own convention.
McCain on RCP currently has about a 2 point lead. But I want to caution fellow McCain supporters that part of that poll average contains a USA Today poll that is giving McCain about 10 point lead. This just isn’t right and is skewing the data a bit. Most other polls give McCain about a one to three point lead. But that could be completely irrelevant because of our electoral system.
Barack Obama is leading Colorado and has been for quite some time now. It only became close there about a month ago. And Obama had his convention there. The winner of this election will have won Ohio and Colorado. I’m conceding Michigan to Obama. McCain has the potential to make it close there but I would lose my brain if he wins it.
And while McCain is leading in Ohio, it is still way too close to have any idea what will happen there. In short, there is absolutely no way to say with any sureness who will win this election.
The political analysts that have no clue what they are talking about are the ones that are confident they know who will win this November. If anyone sounds this way, don’t listen to them. They either work for one of the campaigns or just seriously lack information.